Future Wager Pool 3 Recap

Jan 22, 2024 Darren Rogers

With the Kentucky Derby less than 15 weeks away, the pari-mutuel field of “All Other Colts and Geldings from the 2021 Foal Crop” closed as the 2-1 favorite in Pool 3 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager (KDFW) and Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (GI) winner Fierceness was the 8-1 second choice.

Repole Stable’s Fierceness, trained by two-time Kentucky Derby winner Todd Pletcher, is expected to be crowned last year’s Champion 2-Year-Old Male at Thursday night’s Eclipse Awards, and is on target to make his 3-year-old debut in the $250,000 Holy Bull (Grade III) over 1 1/16 miles on Feb. 3 at Gulfstream Park.

Other horses who attracted mild interest from bettors: Remsen (GII) runner-up Sierra Leone (13-1); Dornoch (15-1), the Remsen winner and full brother to 2023 Kentucky Derby winner Mage; Breeders’ Cup Juvenile third Locked (18-1); recent Gulfstream Park maiden winner Conquest Warrior (18-1); and Gun Runner and Lecomte (GIII) winner Track Phantom (18-1).

Horses in order of the public’s betting choice (with trainer, sire, Pool 3 odds and $2 Win Will Pays):

#40 “All Other 3-Year-Olds from 2021 Foal Crop” (2-1, $6.88).

#15 Fierceness (Todd Pletcher, City of Light, 8-1, $18.64);

#31 Sierra Leone (Chad Brown, Gun Runner, 13-1, $28.18);

#11 Dornoch (Danny Gargan, Good Magic, 15-1, $32.82);

#23 Locked (Todd Pletcher, Gun Runner, 18-1, $38.46);

#9 Conquest Warrior (Shug McGaughey III, City of Light, 18-1, $38.92);

#38 Track Phantom (Steve Asmussen, Quality Road, 18-1, $39.12);

#17 Honor Marie (Whit Beckman, Honor Code, 25-1, $52.20);

#20 Knightsbridge (Bill Mott, Nyquist, 26-1, $54.36);

#7 Catching Freedom (Brad Cox, Constitution, 28-1, $59.28);

#36 Timberlake (Brad Cox, Into Mischief, 30-1, $63.74);

#13 El Capi (Rick Dutrow Jr., Maclean’s Music, 33-1, $69.70);

#16 Forever Young (JPN) (Yoshito Yahagi, Real Steel-JPN, 34-1, $70.54);

#25 Nash (Brad Cox, Medaglia d’Oro, 35-1, $73.16);

#5 Carbone (Steve Asmussen, Mitole, 36-1, $75.98);

#4 Born Noble (Todd Pletcher, Constitution, 41-1, $85.54);

#28 Parchment Party (Bill Mott, Constitution, 51-1, $104.30);

#26 Otello (Christophe Clement, Curlin, 59-1, $121.12);

#3 Book’em Danno (Derek Ryan, Bucchero, 67-1, $137.08);

#32 Snead (Brendan Walsh, Nyquist, 69-1, $141.40);

#22 Liberal Arts (Bobby Medina, Arrogate, 72-1, $146.32);

#2 Ari’s Magic (Christophe Clement, Good Magic, 74-1, $151.32);

#35 The Wine Steward (Mike Maker, Vino Rosso, 77-1, $156.46);

#18 Imperial Gun (Steve Asmussen, Gun Runner, 80-1, $162.38);

#8 Change of Command (Shug McGaughey III, Into Mischief, 83-1, $169.30);

#14 Ethan Energy (Brad Cox, Uncle Mo, 83-1, $169.66);

#39 Tuscan Sky (Todd Pletcher, Vino Rosso, 88-1, $179.00);

#27 Otto the Conqueror (Steve Asmussen, Street Sense, 91-1, $184.38);

#30 Resilience (Bill Mott, Into Mischief, 93-1, $189.60);

#37 Time for Truth (Ron Moquett, Omaha Beach, 93-1, $189.96);

#33 Stretch Ride (Dale Romans, Street Sense, 95-1, $192.22);

#1 Amante Bianco (JPN) (Keisuke Miyata, Henny Hughes, 104-1, $211.44);

#19 Just Steel (Wayne Lukas, Justify, 107-1, $216.02);

#10 Deterministic (Christophe, Clement, Liam’s Map, 107-1, $216.88);

#29 Real Men Violin (Kenny McPeek, Mendelssohn, 123-1, $249.12);

#24 Merit (Saffie Joseph Jr., Mastery, 129-1, $261.56);

#6 Cardinale (Todd Pletcher, Speightstown, 152-1, $307.84);

#34 Stronghold (Phil D’Amato, Ghostzapper, 204-1, $410.40);

#21 Lat Long (Kenny McPeek, Liam’s Map, 222-1, $446.24); and

#12 Drum Roll Please (Brad Cox, Hard Spun, wagering suspended Friday night because of injury).

Total handle for the Jan. 19-21 KDFW pool – the third of six scheduled wagering pools in advance of the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve (GI) on Saturday, May 4 – was $334,472 ($254,977 in the Win pool and $79,495 in Exactas, a 7% increase from last year’s $312,906 ($244,700 in the Win pool and $68,207 in Exactas).

A total of $809,662 has been bet on Derby future wagers thus far compared to $623,660 at this stage last year – a 30% surge.

Inaugurated in 1999, the Kentucky Derby Future Wager has been offered for a 26th consecutive year.

Other Future Wager dates are set for Feb. 16-18 (Pool 4); March 15-17 (Pool 5); April 4-6 (Pool 6). The lone Kentucky Oaks Future Wager will coincide with Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 5.

Visit www.KentuckyDerby.com/FutureWager for more information.